Poster

The impact of information and saturated treatment with time delay in an Infectious disease model

eSMB2020 eSMB2020 2:30 - 3:30pm EDT, Monday - Wednesday
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Prashant K Srivastava

IIT Patna
"The impact of information and saturated treatment with time delay in an Infectious disease model"
Here we propose a mathematical model with a saturated treatment rate in the presence of information. We consider that the information about the disease affects the transmission rate of infection and hence the transmission rate is corrected. We also assume that people are losing their immunity against disease and the model is of SIRS type. We analyse the stability of the model system and our analysis shows that the model possesses the existence of backward bifurcation and multiple endemic steady states. Various situations of multiple endemic equilibrium points are explored numerically. Further, we extend the model to include the time lags in information and we found that in presence of time delay, the endemic steady state destabilizes and oscillations are observed. Thus, we conclude that if information dissemination is delayed beyond a threshold time then the infection oscillates in population and it may lead to difficulty in controlling the disease. Also, nonlinear incidence rate and saturated treatment may cause the existence of multiple endemic equilibrium and hence leads to complex dynamics.
eSMB2020
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Virtual conference of the Society for Mathematical Biology, 2020.